Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.029105 0.031257 0.033502 0.036023 0.038778 0.041701 0.045044
2025-06-08 0.025122 0.028114 0.031397 0.035278 0.039757 0.044785 0.050881
2025-06-15 0.022606 0.026086 0.030050 0.034926 0.040797 0.047683 0.056440
2025-06-22 0.020743 0.024530 0.028975 0.034620 0.041658 0.050225 0.061564
2025-06-29 0.019099 0.023046 0.027795 0.033990 0.041947 0.051942 0.065641
2025-07-06 0.018187 0.022356 0.027490 0.034356 0.043423 0.055159 0.071794
2025-07-13 0.017254 0.021555 0.026960 0.034351 0.044355 0.057660 0.077104
2025-07-20 0.016601 0.021057 0.026764 0.034734 0.045780 0.060862 0.083568
2025-07-27 0.015797 0.020305 0.026175 0.034526 0.046346 0.062866 0.088418
2025-08-03 0.015070 0.019609 0.025610 0.034296 0.046835 0.064751 0.093183
2025-08-10 0.014419 0.018976 0.025089 0.034081 0.047307 0.066605 0.097998
2025-08-17 0.013863 0.018443 0.024671 0.033977 0.047912 0.068665 0.103250
2025-08-24 0.013216 0.017759 0.024015 0.033498 0.047938 0.069860 0.107239
2025-08-31 0.012577 0.017055 0.023297 0.032884 0.047715 0.070641 0.110591
2025-09-07 0.012076 0.016528 0.022805 0.032577 0.047935 0.072116 0.115200
2025-09-14 0.011621 0.016045 0.022352 0.032299 0.048174 0.073617 0.119947
2025-09-21 0.011114 0.015464 0.021728 0.031721 0.047891 0.074225 0.123131
2025-09-28 0.010886 0.015285 0.021694 0.032058 0.049100 0.077390 0.131187
2025-10-05 0.010584 0.014981 0.021455 0.032053 0.049737 0.079607 0.137652
2025-10-12 0.010389 0.014831 0.021443 0.032405 0.050985 0.082953 0.146539
2025-10-19 0.010073 0.014483 0.021108 0.032214 0.051287 0.084631 0.152301
2025-10-26 0.009769 0.014143 0.020772 0.032002 0.051538 0.086220 0.158004
2025-11-02 0.009485 0.013823 0.020455 0.031805 0.051797 0.087831 0.163878